Comments on: Revisiting 2006 Predictions http://www.torgo.com/blog/2006/12/revisiting-2006-predictions.html Musings on technology, the Web, mobility and beyond Mon, 10 Oct 2011 12:09:41 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: telewizja n http://www.torgo.com/blog/2006/12/revisiting-2006-predictions.html/comment-page-1#comment-46784 telewizja n Sat, 10 Nov 2007 14:15:25 +0000 http://www.torgo.com/blog/2006/12/revisiting-2006-predictions.html#comment-46784 Following Russell’s lead, I thought I’d review my predictions for 2006 that I made at the end of last year. Ditto to his comment about the confusing numbering, we each did 10 out of 20, in no real order, and click through the links for the original posts detailing some of my original shots. Predictions 3 and 4: - 3G won’t kill Wi-Fi, WiMAX won’t kill 3G. There will be no killing of rival radio technologies. Check, one point. I’m hard pressed to think of any technology killing another this year, despite predictions that Wi-Fi would totally own all over 3G and so on. - Operators will still struggle to find the key selling points of 3G. Hmm. While we’re starting to see some changes here, I’m still going to award myself a point. Overall, operators still aren’t pushing anything particularly exciting on users because of 3G. This may be starting to change (3’s X-Series, perhaps mobile TV), so maybe in 2007. Predictions 7 and 8: - MVNOs will gain in popularity, with new services announced and launching regularly. But the thinning of the herd will also begin, with at least one high-profile casualty before the end of the year. Ding, one point. Plenty more MVNOs were announced this year, while Mobile ESPN and EasyMobile provided two high-profile crashes. - RIM will take it on the chin, even if it comes out of its patent suit okay. Push e-mail will become a commodity offering from carriers, and rivals like Visto, Seven, Nokia and Good will make gains in the enterprise market, partly because of their support of all types of mobile devices. It’s a bit early to give myself a point on this. RIM’s rivals did make strides in the last year, but it’s still on top of the market. I don’t think I’m wrong here, but my timing was certainly off. Following Russell’s lead, I thought I’d review my predictions for 2006 that I made at the end of last year. Ditto to his comment about the confusing numbering, we each did 10 out of 20, in no real order, and click through the links for the original posts detailing some of my original shots.

Predictions 3 and 4:
- 3G won’t kill Wi-Fi, WiMAX won’t kill 3G. There will be no killing of rival radio technologies.

Check, one point. I’m hard pressed to think of any technology killing another this year, despite predictions that Wi-Fi would totally own all over 3G and so on.

- Operators will still struggle to find the key selling points of 3G.

Hmm. While we’re starting to see some changes here, I’m still going to award myself a point. Overall, operators still aren’t pushing anything particularly exciting on users because of 3G. This may be starting to change (3’s X-Series, perhaps mobile TV), so maybe in 2007.

Predictions 7 and 8:

- MVNOs will gain in popularity, with new services announced and launching regularly. But the thinning of the herd will also begin, with at least one high-profile casualty before the end of the year.

Ding, one point. Plenty more MVNOs were announced this year, while Mobile ESPN and EasyMobile provided two high-profile crashes.

- RIM will take it on the chin, even if it comes out of its patent suit okay. Push e-mail will become a commodity offering from carriers, and rivals like Visto, Seven, Nokia and Good will make gains in the enterprise market, partly because of their support of all types of mobile devices.

It’s a bit early to give myself a point on this. RIM’s rivals did make strides in the last year, but it’s still on top of the market. I don’t think I’m wrong here, but my timing was certainly off.

]]> By: Steven Tolliver http://www.torgo.com/blog/2006/12/revisiting-2006-predictions.html/comment-page-1#comment-891 Steven Tolliver Tue, 09 Jan 2007 09:42:20 +0000 http://www.torgo.com/blog/2006/12/revisiting-2006-predictions.html#comment-891 Dan, sorry to pester you again, but we would very much like to have you appear as a keynote speaker at the 2007 Internet Global Congress in Barcelona in April. Is there a way I could provide further information to you? Thank you and best regards, Steven Tolliver [email deleted] Dan, sorry to pester you again, but we would very much like to have you appear as a keynote speaker at the 2007 Internet Global Congress in Barcelona in April. Is there a way I could provide further information to you?
Thank you and best regards,
Steven Tolliver
[email deleted]

]]> By: ari http://www.torgo.com/blog/2006/12/revisiting-2006-predictions.html/comment-page-1#comment-661 ari Mon, 01 Jan 2007 13:30:19 +0000 http://www.torgo.com/blog/2006/12/revisiting-2006-predictions.html#comment-661 absolutely right! the evolving of wimax and mobile network would allow society to stay connected with the internet on move. This would undoubtedly provide opportunity for content creators to work for different platforms. CS3 seems to be Mobile publishing ready. It would be very interesting to see who evolves the content engine. absolutely right!
the evolving of wimax and mobile network would allow society to stay connected with the internet on move. This would undoubtedly provide opportunity for content creators to work for different platforms. CS3 seems to be Mobile publishing ready.

It would be very interesting to see who evolves the content engine.

]]> By: mika li http://www.torgo.com/blog/2006/12/revisiting-2006-predictions.html/comment-page-1#comment-512 mika li Wed, 27 Dec 2006 05:13:09 +0000 http://www.torgo.com/blog/2006/12/revisiting-2006-predictions.html#comment-512 Enlightening piece, Daniel. I very much agree with you on the evolution of mobile web. Opera Mini has been a revelation for me. I'd like to see developers and content providers solve the million dollar question... how to bring the rich and vastness of web/desktop content on to mobile devices which have limited real estate for display. Is content-reengineering in the form of (On-Device-Portal, WAP, i-mode) the way forward? or clever solutions to shrink-wrap website content via the excellent OPERA MINI? Or would we see innovative solutions such as Tricastmedia's TWUIK (http://mobiko.blogs.com/mutant/2006/12/tricastmedias_t_1.html#comments) Rich Media Engine for mobile content creation? Enlightening piece, Daniel. I very much agree with you on the evolution of mobile web. Opera Mini has been a revelation for me.

I’d like to see developers and content providers solve the million dollar question… how to bring the rich and vastness of web/desktop content on to mobile devices which have limited real estate for display. Is content-reengineering in the form of (On-Device-Portal, WAP, i-mode) the way forward? or clever solutions to shrink-wrap website content via the excellent OPERA MINI? Or would we see innovative solutions such as Tricastmedia’s TWUIK (http://mobiko.blogs.com/mutant/2006/12/tricastmedias_t_1.html#comments) Rich Media Engine for mobile content creation?

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